Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 12.621764 14.199349 15.969441 18.116881 20.670776 23.635112 27.371792
2025-07-13 11.508443 13.769637 16.532787 20.217134 25.094256 31.468816 40.676794
2025-07-20 10.401433 12.945182 16.231473 20.903411 27.575614 37.102717 52.430216
2025-07-27 9.199827 11.767848 15.218244 20.356680 28.123705 40.001941 60.863608
2025-08-03 8.636867 11.341222 15.115348 21.000241 30.423905 45.913180 75.867142
2025-08-10 7.926559 10.614734 14.475430 20.712410 31.165449 49.385455 87.624489
2025-08-17 7.336688 9.993368 13.905671 20.428085 31.820382 52.792465 100.430857
2025-08-24 6.868181 9.501957 13.471169 20.286131 32.667186 56.709101 115.885065
2025-08-31 6.384525 8.943956 12.873828 19.785855 32.761560 59.130326 128.799589
2025-09-07 6.023958 8.544687 12.488277 19.596124 33.397539 62.819173 146.795505
2025-09-14 5.572165 7.969836 11.768282 18.728791 32.560707 63.050264 155.057861
2025-09-21 5.155226 7.424216 11.056319 17.804473 31.478290 62.492413 160.755110
2025-09-28 4.810075 6.985875 10.513785 17.181907 31.028800 63.601373 173.605260
2025-10-05 4.927659 7.306340 11.287368 19.142751 36.509501 81.478942 262.918470
2025-10-12 4.819813 7.242062 11.380028 19.779746 39.151403 92.801121 340.296718
2025-10-19 4.555822 6.895317 10.937206 19.271980 38.957140 95.633601 379.248766
2025-10-26 4.465382 6.839993 11.019963 19.869673 41.634797 108.685427 498.308065
2025-11-02 4.269141 6.587736 10.716446 19.602413 42.023964 114.197357 579.022300
2025-11-09 4.088514 6.352710 10.428532 19.338317 42.379136 119.799981 673.917479
2025-11-16 3.937014 6.161121 10.210094 19.206428 43.083410 127.119499 805.228786
2025-11-23 3.757889 5.910613 9.861108 18.741440 42.757314 130.215629 904.490935
2025-11-30 3.623030 5.733762 9.645296 18.565016 43.257132 137.144356 1077.308743
2025-12-07 3.428386 5.438987 9.179458 17.757974 41.729223 134.491621 1113.178044